Introduction: Zhou Er dish in, the apple makes the whole world for a time the biggest appear on the market company. He Baite of columnist of investment newsletter expert, MarketWatch (Mark Hulbert) is written civil point out, malic share price has gone to them basic now the thereinbefore of the face, and historical statistic data shows, those companies with the biggest market prise, its stock is in future the expression inside a year often not as good as grail, because this investor is chased after,holding an apple in both hands to be afraid is not wise decision.
north face shirtsThe following namely comment article full text of Hebaite:
If I say to be in,did not come among a few months, the expression of American bank stock will exceed an apple, how many person can believe?
I think, lane is bad that one believes also be done not have.
After all, apple (the share price of AAPL) is gallopping in what make a person fab in the center, wear soon be about to exceed dust gram Sen Meifu (XOM) , make the world the biggest appear on the market company. American bank (BAC) photograph is compared under it is one face was not enraged, than its nearly 52 weeks of apogee this year January glided now nearly 50% , mere Zhou Yi dropped 17% .
B the most popular brooch pins ut, no matter y the best selling canon ef 15mm ou believe, think American bank decides those who surmount an apple sufferred such destiny, just is to say palpability goes against situation analysis and operation is it how know easy travel is difficult to how know easy travel.
Anuote (the person that Rob Arnott) has this kind of scarce instinct namely. Anuote is the author that invests advisory company Research Affiliates, latter special skill weaves namely main area index, namely the stock in the index is not will increase advantageous position with market prise, wait for a series of main area variable in order to include value of face of sale, gain, Zhang to increase advantageous position however.
Zhou Er afternoon, the apple is brief dust gram Sen Meifu is jumped over in Pan Zhongchao, ascend the head of a list of names posted up of market prise pop chart, later before long, a Nuo spy combines search my interview. He expresses to me, he believes to be in future among a few months, american bank stock will achieve the performance that exceeds an apple. He points out, the basis replaces the research of the index that increase advantageous position, he discovers, apple " present price means this company they had been regarded the biggest prospective profit source on this earth. It is too beyond the mark also that this looks " .
So, according to main area, market prise of and rather than increases advantageous position, where should malic position be after all? Index of FTSE RAFI All-Caps US 1000 offerred a solution. Anuote says, up to on August 8, between this one index, the apple is the 21st big component. Between the index of FTSE RAFI All World of whole world of have sth in mind, the apple ranks the 48th.
Change character, the first with the 21st or the comparison of 48, the share price that explained the apple is current has the most popular scooby costume many not to rely on chart. plant lights
Meanwhile, american bank is a kind of opposite situation, the stock of this company suffers everybody's abomination a most popular selling canon ef 15mm nd detest and reject, so that their market prise is ranked already fall back on after main area i the most popular t mobile prepaid cards s ranked. Anuote explains, the result of this one change is, even if the apple has reason to ask to compare the market prise with American bigger bank really, but the market prise that wants them only wants and their main area tends consistent, this expression is met under average level, and the situation of American bank is apropos and opposite.
So, the support of what history data can Arnaud's view have? The answer is affirmative.
Our basis " summary of He Baite finance " data of 500 indexes history undertook the standard general Er of collection consider. We single out an index to go 30 years annual the component with the biggest market prise when January 1, did not come to its one most popular selling t mobile prepaid cards year to should be trapped next into the expression of dividend reinvest element and Weierxia 5000 indexes undertake comparative -- what this one index represents is grail.
Result discovery, future of the person that those market prise precede the return rate of 12 months lags behind on average grail 4.9 percent.
Although use, is different data and different research technique, but Anuote's research also reached really similar conclusion. The target that he studies is to came 1952 differ individually between 2009 board piece particular case. He discovers, become when a company " the rafter that come forward " later, 12 their mean monthly return rate is backward integral board piece 3.5 percent.
Of course, what must make clear is, these are the conclusion that are based on long-term history data to reach in fro the best selling brooch pins nt. the best selling memory laptop toshiba This is meant, everything what even if goes was to show a certain pattern really, also can be sure without who the apple is in 100 percent future is destined to be inferior to American bank inside period of time.
But, we can say according to the research in front at least: This kind of possibility is very large still. (Yu Xiang)
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